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Sunday, Nov 13, 2005

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Bullish undertone in SBI, Reliance

B. Krishnakumar

SBI (Rs 871): Contrary to expectations, the stock ruled firm and moved past the bullish trigger level of Rs 862.

As is the case normally, if the stock has the strength to move past a resistance zone, the trend would continue for a while in the direction of the breakout.

The share price is likely to move to the target zone of the Rs 910-915 range. Remain invested with a stop-loss at Rs 835. Fresh exposures may be considered on weakness, with a stop-loss at Rs 835.

Reliance Ind (Rs 795): The expected short-term uptrend materialised during the week. The share price, however, closed above the resistance-cum-stop loss range at the Rs 790-795 on Friday. This is a positive development and has imparted short-term bullish trend. The stock could move to the target range of Rs 840-845 range in the near term. Remain invested with a stop-loss at Rs 755. Fresh exposures may also be considered on weakness, with a stop-loss at Rs 755.

Tata Steel (Rs 371): The stock moved in expected lines. The short-term uptrend materialised during the week and the share price moved to the target zone of Rs 370-375. The short-term outlook is positive as the recent upward move does not appear complete. A move to the Rs 395-400 range appears likely. Hold with a stop-loss at Rs 359. Fresh exposures may also be considered with a stop-loss at Rs 359. A trailing stop-loss may be used in the event of a move past Rs 400.

The short-term positive outlook would be negated on a close below Rs 359, as this would push the stock to the Rs 325-330 range.

Satyam Computer (Rs 651): The stock ruled firm and moved to the resistance zone at the Rs 640-645 range. The stock ruled weak for a couple of days after hitting this resistance zone and moved past this zone on Friday. This has imparted short-term strength and a move to the Rs 695-700 appears likely. Hold with a stop-loss at Rs 625. Fresh long positions may be considered on weakness, with a stop-loss at Rs 625.

Infosys (Rs 2,681): The price movement was in sync with expectations. The stock moved to the target zone of Rs 2,675-2,680 on Friday. The near-term trend remains bullish and a move to the Rs 2,775-2,800 range appears likely. Investors may hold with a stop-loss at Rs 2,600. Fresh long positions may also be considered on weakness, with a stop-loss at Rs 2,600.

... ... ... ... .Follow-up... ... ... ... ..

HDFC (Rs 1,050): The stock moved in sync with expectations. It ruled firm and touched a high of Rs 1,080 during the week. The outlook remains positive and the share price appears on course to move to the target zone of Rs 1,150-1,200. This view would be valid as long as the stop-loss level at Rs 860 is not broken. From a short-term trading perspective, long positions may be considered with a stop-loss at Rs 1,000. Price weakness may be used to enhance exposures with the same stop-loss. A breach of Rs 1,000 could result in a drop to support range at Rs 970-975, which again would be a good opportunity to take long positions, with a stop-loss at Rs 920.

IPCL (Rs 228): The price action was confined to a narrow trading zone last week. The stock, however, recorded a modest upward move on Friday. The recent sideways price action has not negated the earlier view of a rally to Rs 245-250. A close above the immediate resistance level at Rs 231 would trigger an uptrend.

Long positions may be considered on a close above Rs 231, with a stop-loss at Rs 221. A close below Rs 221 could push the stock to the Rs 210-215 band. Long- term investors may remain invested with a stop-loss at Rs 204. Only a close below Rs 204 would blunt the positive outlook.

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