![]() Financial Daily from THE HINDU group of publications Sunday, Jul 03, 2005 |
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Investment World
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IPOs Markets - IPOs Money & Banking - IPOs IL&FS Investsmart: Invest at Rs 125 Suresh Krishnamurthy
Mr A. R. Barwe (left), Independent Director, with Mr Hemang Raja, MD & CEO... Eyeing a larger share in capital market-related products and services. Paul Noronha
Negative factors galore
There are a number of negative factors though; the poor quality of disclosures being one. The offer document does not detail the trading volumes in its retail broking business over the years. There is not a word in the offer document about its derivatives broking business, the fastest growing trading segment in the capital markets. Has the company been losing market share? Similarly, the company has not revealed the number of client relationships and assets under management in its portfolio management business. Even in the distribution business, the company says it mobilised Rs 14,164 crore in FY-05. Figures for the previous year and the break-up into equity and debt funds mobilised are not available. Of far more concern to investors is that the company has still not started its Internet-broking business. Online trading volumes are increasing at a rapid pace. The company's technology infrastructure too may appear inferior to competition. The company has in the past paid fines to National Stock Exchange due to technical glitches, which the company claims have since been rectified.
If the offer is attractive despite these factors, it is because of the following factors:
Given the demographic structure of India, increasing distribution reach of intermediaries and the low participation of retail investors in the equity market, the prospects for sustaining a two-digit growth in volumes over a long period in excess of five years is bright. Even in the first three months of FY-06, trading volumes in equities and derivatives at the National Stock Exchange NSE have risen by 8 per cent. Prospects for top brokers are superior as they grab market share from the smaller players.
IL&FS Investsmart is already a sizeable player in mutual fund distribution, initial public offer distribution and in merchant banking for small and medium-sized offers. These non-broking businesses are already critical for IL&FS; they contributed about half of the profit before tax of the company for FY-05.
Attractive valuation
On valuation parameters, the offer is attractive. With revenues of Rs 75 crore and profits of Rs 21.7 crore, India Infoline is now valued at Rs 375 crore at a price-to-earnings multiple of 17.5. In contrast, IL&FS Investsmart with sales of Rs 113.70 crore and profits of Rs 33.1 crore is seeking to be valued at Rs 550 crore at a PE multiple of 16.5. Geojit Financial Services is trading at a PE multiple of 13.5 times. This valuation is attractive considering the multiple businesses in which IL & FS Investsmart operates. The return on net worth generated over the past two years, which is in excess of 30 per cent, is also impressive. Profit growth over the past two years has also been impressive. Thus, the PE multiple demanded appears reasonable. The valuation, however, does not contain any discount for the poor disclosures and the consequent implications for quality of corporate governance.
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