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Vinson Kurian

Thiruvananthapuram, July 6 The country has received 20 per cent excess rainfall till July 4 with as many as 31 of the 36 met sub divisions recording excess or normal rainfall during the ongoing monsoon whose spatial and temporal coverage has been the best in recent times.

Topping the list of those recording excess precipitation were Rayalaseema (+238 per cent); Saurashtra and Kutch (+162 per cent); Madhya Maharashtra (+128 per cent); Gujarat (+127 per cent); Coastal Andhra Pradesh (+117 per cent); North Interior Karnataka (+114 per cent); and Jammu and Kashmir (+106 per cent).

Meanwhile, the UK Met Office said in its seasonal forecast that India would receive ‘above normal’ rainfall during July-August-September. The European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting also holds a similar view.

Only five met sub divisions led by Jharkhand (-48 per cent) and Bihar (-44 per cent) had to contend with deficient rainfall as on July 4 but these very areas are bracing to receive a round of good rainfall from a depression over Gangetic West Bengal that intensified overnight into a deep depression on Friday.

Intensification of the depression located over land itself is a rare exception, but seemed to have been brought about thanks to the landfall and weakening of a rogue South China Sea storm (named ‘Toraji’) over the Vietnam-China coast on Thursday evening

The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre of the US Navy says that the deep depression features a low-level circulation centre with convective monsoon rain bands wrapping into it along the northwest and the southern semi-circle. It may not spin on to become a cyclone only because the umbilical cord that links it with the sea has been cut denying it the required moisture feed.

Mr Jim Andrews of AccuWeather.com says that the monsoon ‘low’ (the deep depression) drifting towards central India will hold the key to evolving weather in the country over the next few days. The ‘low’ will travel to east Gujarat and south Rajasthan, dragging the rain belt along.

An India Meteorological Department (IMD) update on Friday said that the deep depression had centred itself over Gangetic West Bengal, near Bankura on Friday. The system is likely to move in a west-northwest direction.

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